Ana sa ran wannan koma-baya zai ci gaba, galibi saboda ƙarancin buƙata, ƙarancin farashin kayan masarufi da isasshen wadata. #revaluation
A cikin kwata na huɗu, farashin PE, PP, PS, PVC da PET sun ci gaba da faɗuwa tun watan Yuli, sakamakon raguwar buƙata, isasshen wadata, raguwar farashin kayan masarufi da rashin tabbas gabaɗaya a cikin tattalin arzikin duniya. A cikin yanayin polyethylene da polypropylene, ƙaddamar da sabon ƙarfin aiki wani abu ne daban, yayin da shigo da kayayyaki cikin farashi mai rahusa matsala ce ga PET da wataƙila polystyrene.
Ga ra'ayin Michael Greenberg, Mai Ba da Shawara kan Sayayya a Resin Technology, Inc. (RTi), Babban Mai Ba da Shawara a PetroChemWire (PCW), Shugaba na The Plastics Exchange, da Scott Newell, Mataimakin Shugaban EVP Polyolefins a kamfanin rarraba resin da kuma mai haɗa Spartan Polymers.
Duk da cewa masu samar da kayayyaki na polyethylene sun sanar da karuwar farashi na cents 5-7 a kowace fam a watan Satumba-Oktoba, farashin polyethylene ya fadi akalla cents 4 zuwa cents 6 a kowace fam a watan Agusta kuma ana sa ran zai kara faduwa a watan Satumba, in ji David Barry. . Mataimakin Daraktan PCW na Polyethylene, Polystyrene, da Polystyrene Robin Chesshire, Mataimakin Shugaban RTi na Kasuwannin Polyethylene, Polystyrene, da Nylon-6, da Greenberg na Plastics Exchange. Madadin haka, waɗannan majiyoyin gabaɗaya sun yi imanin cewa farashin zai iya faduwa kaɗan a watan Oktoba da wannan watan.
Chesshire na RTi ya lura cewa buƙatar polyethylene ta kasance mai ƙarfi a mafi yawan shekarar, amma zuwa ƙarshen Satumba ya ragu a yawancin sassan kasuwa. Barry na PCW ya lura cewa ƙarancin farashin kayan masarufi, babu alamun ɗaukar buƙata da buɗe sabon ƙarfin aiki daga Shell ba zai ƙara farashin ba. Ya kuma lura cewa farashin polyethylene spot ya faɗi da cents 4 zuwa cents 7 a kowace fam kamar yadda yake a watan Satumba: "Buƙatar fitarwa ta ƙasashen waje ta kasance mai rauni, 'yan kasuwa suna da manyan kaya, kuma akwai rashin tabbas game da motsin farashi a cikin wata mai zuwa. yana da wuya a tsaya yayin da abokan ciniki ke tsammanin rage farashi a nan gaba."
Majiyoyi sun kuma lura cewa masu samar da kayayyaki sun rage samar da kayayyaki. A watan Oktoba, Greenberg ya bayyana kasuwar da ke akwai: "Yawancin masu sarrafawa har yanzu suna siyan resin ne kawai idan ana buƙata, kuma wasu masu sarrafawa suna fara siyan ƙarin resin yayin da farashi ya zama mai kyau, kodayake buƙatar masu amfani a masana'antu da yawa na ƙasa ya ragu saboda yanayin tattalin arziki da tattalin arziki. Hankula na damuwa. Masu samarwa da sauran manyan masu samar da resin suna ci gaba da yin ba'a ga ƙarancin farashi yayin da yanayin bearish ya koma baya, tare da ƙarancin adadin aiki da hauhawar farashi a Asiya, bisa ga zato cewa wannan ya taimaka wajen inganta buƙatun cikin gida yayin da wasu masu siye suka nuna damuwa game da asarar riba. manyan yarjejeniyoyi da farashin ajiya mai rahusa."
Farashin Polypropylene ya faɗi da cent 1/lb a watan Agusta, yayin da farashin propylene monomer ya tashi da cent 2/lb, amma ribar masu samar da kayayyaki ta faɗi da cent 3. A cewar Barry na PCW, Newell na Spartan Polymers da The Plastic Exchange, farashin polypropylene na watan Satumba ya faɗi jimillar cent 8 a kowace fam, farashin sulhu na kwangilolin monomer ya faɗi da cent 5 a kowace fam, kuma masu samar da kayayyaki sun rasa wasu cent 3 saboda ƙarancin riba. lb. Greenberg. Bugu da ƙari, waɗannan majiyoyin sun yi imanin cewa farashin na iya sake faɗuwa sosai a watan Oktoba, yayin da farashin bai canza ko ma ya ragu a wannan watan ba.
Barry yana ganin yiwuwar raguwar lambobi biyu a watan Oktoba, yana mai cewa buƙatar ta ragu da kuma yawan wadata. Dangane da wannan watan, yana ganin yiwuwar raguwar farashin yayin da Exxon Mobil ta ƙaddamar da sabuwar masana'antar polypropylene kuma Heartland Polymer ta ƙara yawan samarwa a sabuwar masana'antar. Newell yana tsammanin farashin propylene monomer zai faɗi da centi 5 zuwa centi 8 a kowace fam saboda ƙarancin farashin tabo a duniya. Yana fuskantar haɗarin ƙarin raguwar riba. Ya lura cewa ana sa ran masu samar da polypropylene za su rage samarwa saboda rarar fam miliyan 175 a watan Yuli-Agusta yayin da buƙata ta faɗi. Adadin kwanakin isarwa ya ƙaru zuwa kwanaki 40 a watan Satumba idan aka kwatanta da kwanakin 30-31 da aka saba gani a kasuwa mai daidaito. Waɗannan majiyoyin sun nuna rangwame na centi 10 zuwa 20 a kowace fam idan aka kwatanta da farashin tabo a kasuwa.
Greenberg ya bayyana kasuwar PP a matsayin mai jinkirin aiki yayin da ƙarancin buƙata ya ci gaba har zuwa watan Oktoba kuma ya danganta hakan da raguwar tattalin arzikin duniya, rashin tabbas na tattalin arziki na ɗan gajeren lokaci, yawan samar da resin da masu siye ke yi da kuma daidaita ƙarfinsu a cikin tattaunawa. "Idan masana'antun suka ci gaba da jagorantar da kuma samun umarni ta hanyar canje-canjen hannun jari, maimakon kawai rage yawan samarwa don daidaita wadata da buƙata, za mu iya ganin ƙarin raguwar riba a nan gaba."
Bayan faɗuwar centi 22 zuwa centi 25 a kowace fam a watan Agusta, farashin polystyrene ya faɗi da centi 11 a kowace fam a watan Satumba, inda Barry na PCW da Chesshire na RTi suka yi hasashen ƙarin faɗuwa a watan Oktoba da kuma wata guda. Na ƙarshen ya lura cewa raguwar PS a watan Satumba bai kai raguwar 14c/lb a farashin kayan masarufi ba, kuma ya nuna ci gaba da raguwar buƙata da ƙarancin farashin kayan masarufi wanda ke tallafawa ƙarin faɗuwa, ban da manyan cikas ga samar da kayayyaki.
Barry daga PCW yana da irin wannan ra'ayi. Farashin polystyrene ya tashi da cents 53 a kowace fam tun daga watan Fabrairu amma ya faɗi da cents 36 a kowace fam kafin farkon kwata na huɗu, in ji shi. Yana ganin akwai damar da za a ƙara rage farashi, yana mai lura da cewa masu samar da kayayyaki na iya buƙatar ƙara rage samar da styrene monomer da polystyrene resin.
Ya kuma lura cewa yayin da shigo da resin polystyrene a al'adance ya kasance kusan kashi 5% na kayan da ake da su, shigo da resin polystyrene mai tsada daga Asiya ya koma wannan yanki na duniya, musamman zuwa Latin Amurka, saboda farashin jigilar kaya yanzu ya yi ƙasa sosai. "Ko wannan zai zama matsala ga masu samar da polystyrene na Arewacin Amurka har yanzu ba a gani ba," in ji shi.
A cewar Mark Kallman, mataimakin shugaban kamfanin resin PVC da injiniya na RTi, da Donna Todd, babban edita a PCW, farashin PVC ya faɗi da centi 5 a kowace fam a watan Agusta da kuma wani centi 5 a kowace fam a watan Satumba, wanda ya kawo jimillar raguwar zuwa centi 15 a kowace fam a kwata na uku. Kalman na iya ganin irin wannan raguwar a watan Oktoba da wannan watan. Abubuwan da ke taimakawa sun haɗa da ci gaba da raguwar buƙata tun daga watan Mayu, wadataccen wadata a kasuwa da kuma yawan yaɗuwa tsakanin farashin fitarwa da na cikin gida.
Todd na PCW ya lura cewa irin wannan faduwar farashi mai ban mamaki a cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci abu ne da ba a taɓa ganin irinsa ba a kasuwar PVC, kuma mahalarta kasuwa da yawa suna da fatan cewa farashin PVC ba zai faɗi ba a kwata na farko na 2023, kamar yadda aƙalla ƙwararren kasuwa ya annabta. . . . A farkon Oktoba, ta ba da rahoton cewa "Yayin da masu sarrafa bututun PVC ke son ganin ƙarancin farashin resin, farashin PVC yana faɗuwa kamar jirgin ƙasa mai gudu na iya kashe musu kuɗi yayin da farashin resin ke rage farashin bututu. A wasu lokuta, farashin bututu yana raguwa. ya faɗi da sauri fiye da farashin resin. Masu sake amfani da su a wasu kasuwanni, kamar siding da bene, suna ɗaya gefen lissafin saboda waɗannan kasuwannin ba za su iya wuce cikakken ƙaruwar farashin resin ga abokan cinikinsu ba. Suna jin daɗin ganin farashin ya faɗi da sauri, ta haka suna mayar da kasuwancinsu zuwa wani matakin riba."
Farashin PET ya faɗi da centi 2 zuwa centi 3/lb a watan Satumba bayan ya faɗi da centi 20/lb a watan Yuli-Agusta, duk saboda raguwar farashin kayan masarufi. Cullman na RTi yana sa ran farashin zai faɗi da centi 2-3 a kowace fam a watan Oktoba, tare da farashin da ya yi daidai ko ya yi ƙasa kaɗan a cikin watan. Buƙatar har yanzu tana da kyau, amma kasuwar cikin gida tana da kyau kuma fitar da kayayyaki na ci gaba da gudana a farashi mai kyau, in ji shi.
Abubuwan da suka haifar sun haɗa da buƙatar cikin gida da/ko fitarwa, ƙarancin hannun jarin masu samar da kayayyaki da kuma hauhawar farashin kayan masarufi saboda katsewar samarwa.